Archive for June, 2011

Heat To Peak Today…Then Breezy and Cooler Thursday Into Friday…Expect a Fair and Dry Weekend With Seasonal Temps…..A Warm Up Is Expected Early Next Week

New Articles regarding the sunspot cycle worth reading…….

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/06/14/all-three-of-these-lines-of-research-to-point-to-the-familiar-sunspot-cycle-shutting-down-for-a-while/

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/06/17/easterbrook-on-the-potential-demise-of-sunspots/


It appears that summer like weather will continue one more day today then cooling, along with afternoon and evening breezes to prevail Thursday into Friday. Steepened lapes rates may allow a few TSRWS for develop Friday afternoon over parts of Mono County.

The remains of an upper level high over California will push temps up a few more degrees today, before giving way to a low pressure system moving SE out of the pacific northwest into the northern Great Basin. Cooling from the back side of that system will spread south over northern and Central Ca. bringing between 10 and 15 degrees of cooling Thursday into Friday. Thereafter….Temps to remain stable throughout the weekend (64 to 67), before another upper ridge builds in Monday through Wednesday next week, for a return of Summer. This is just in time for the Summer Solstice Tuesday Am at 10:16am PDT.  Highs Tuesday into Wednesday in the low to mid 70s next week.



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Reference Glossary of Weather Terms
Disclaimer: I have been a hobbyist meteorologist for over 30 years here in the Mammoth area and I do this for my personal enjoyment. The National Weather Service saves lives every day . . . I do not. When making important planning decisions please use information provided by the National Weather Service as they are the most knowledgeable and accurate information source available today.

A Taste Of Summer By Mid Week!……Then Cooler over the Weekend as Trofing Returns…..

Latest Guidance shows a continuation of the trend of upper ridging that builds in tonight into Tuesday then Flattening on Wednesday. High temperatures will likely climb a good 5 to 10 degrees above normal by Wednesday with highs in the mid to possibly upper 70s. Strong daytime sun of June will work with surface heating over the high elevated land of the High Sierra for some isolated showers with thunder possible Wednesday afternoon into the early evening with the action shifting east over the weekend. The latest GFS continues its forecast of trofings this weekend…..and so expect gusty afternoon and evening winds out of the WSW to 30 MPH along with clloer temps. The models suggest temps to cool back into the low 60s by Sunday.  The upper trof will be a dry one over Central Ca.  At the moment, the Dweebs feel that 8000 foot level temps should remain about 5 degrees above freezing Sunday morning. However the lower elevations may flirt with freezing if the winds decouple long enough for the cooler air to settle.  Of note, the ECMWF has trended quite cool with the 00z Monday Run with the 700mb zero degree C isotherm down into Northern California.


The Dweeber……………………:-)

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Reference Glossary of Weather Terms
Disclaimer: I have been a hobbyist meteorologist for over 30 years here in the Mammoth area and I do this for my personal enjoyment. The National Weather Service saves lives every day . . . I do not. When making important planning decisions please use information provided by the National Weather Service as they are the most knowledgeable and accurate information source available today.

There is No Denying it……70s On The Way For The High County Next Week!

Overall pattern is still highlighted by a “weak long wave trof” that hangs over California through the weekend. Heights and 500-1000mb Thicknesses will slowly climb and so will temps here in the high country this week and into the next. (Save) There is a benign short wave that bring some temporary cooling Friday night into Saturday. Both Thicknesses and Heights increase Sunday into Monday. By early next week a strong upper ridge builds over California and increases the likelihood that Mono County will experience somewhat above normal temperatures, beginning Tuesday through the end of next week. (Low to mid 70s at 8000 feet)

Afternoon Convection: 

In that we still have a weak long wave trof over California, there will be several impulses that will work with the strong day time heating of early June. Isolated convection, Virga and even a few isolated TSRWs will be evident each and every afternoon the remainder of this week.  The days with strong west will help push the convection to the more eastern section of Mono County.  Measurable precipitation will be in the few hundreds at best. 

Of Interest:

The first tropical storm of the eastern pacific season (Adrian) has spun up the past few days. It is expected to become a Hurricane by Thursday morning. Then a Cat 2 storm with Sustained winds of 85Knots or greater by Friday.  The track of this system seem to be headed toward Cabo San Lucas by Monday night weakening near Cabo.

Flood Watch:

The National Weather Service has issued a flood watch for parts of the Walker River beginning this weekend into next week. Campers are advised to not camp next to or close to the Walker River in some areas.

See For Details:  http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=CAZ073&warncounty=CAC051&firewxzone=CAZ273&local_place1=17+Miles+ESE+Bodie+CA&product1=Flood+Watch


Dr Howard and the Dweebs…………………………………:-)

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————————————————-
Reference Glossary of Weather Terms
Disclaimer: I have been a hobbyist meteorologist for over 30 years here in the Mammoth area and I do this for my personal enjoyment. The National Weather Service saves lives every day . . . I do not. When making important planning decisions please use information provided by the National Weather Service as they are the most knowledgeable and accurate information source available today.