Snow Continues to Fall in the High Country…..Back of Front Just Moving Through Fresno at 8:30am
Sunday November 20, 2011
Posted at 9:00 am by Howard
5:30pm Update: Well….. all yea had to do was double the QPF and it would have been right on! 🙄
Final Tally: 12 inches at the main Lodge
10 inches at the village
About 16 over the crest.
Not to Shabby for a storm that was supposed to split with Mammoth supposedly getting only a few inches, just a few days ago.
Like the Dweebs have been saying…..this is the Winter of the Humble Pie for the weather forecaster……. the Dreaded Split flow Blues…..
There will be many more blown snowfall forecasts this month and next……Best forecasts will be the ones within 24 to 36 hours….and even some of those will bust!
Get ready for more frustration…….as the next splitting system arrives as early as Late Wednesday……
Light snow is falling here at the Village at Mammoth. About two inches on the Snow Plot. Mammoth Mt Reported 4 inches at 7:00am and now coming up on 8:40am it looks like the Sesame plot has about 5 inches now. The back of the active front appears to be moving through Fresno at the moment and so there will probably be another 2 to 4 hours of light to possibly moderate snowfall. That may be enough time for another 2 to 4 inches on Mammoth Mt….It appears that most of the precipitation should be “over-with” by about 12:00pm today with Snow showers continuing through the afternoon and diminishing early this evening.
The main Vort center and dynamics are moving SE down the coast. The Vort Center will pass mostly south of Mammoth and so part II of the storm will not get into the Central Sierra.
The new Sunday 12z GFS just in has the next upstream system for Thanksgiving sheering and splitting as it comes onshore. So…..do not get your hopes up too much at this time for a lot of snow. It may end up a similar situation like the last one…….”that forecasters will not really have a handel on the QPF with any confidence until some 24 to 36 hours before the event”.
Dr Howard and the Dweebs……………………………:-)
Reference Glossary of Weather Terms
Disclaimer: I have been a hobbyist meteorologist for over 30 years here in the Mammoth area and I do this for my personal enjoyment. The National Weather Service saves lives every day . . . I do not. When making important planning decisions please use information provided by the National Weather Service as they are the most knowledgeable and accurate information source available today.