Beautiful Day Friday then Colder and Breezy through the Holiday Weekend…..Snow Showers in the offering…..Expect a Stronger System Next weekend.
Friday February 17, 2012
Posted at 8:38 am by Howard
Short wave ridging today will offer a very nice day for all outdoor activities. Winds will be light and temps will be warmer over the upper elevations. The next weather system will bring another shot of cooling to the area with some snow-showers and possibly a dusting. None of the models generate any serious QPF. CRFC gives Yosemite about .03 inches. So it will not be a big deal. Cooler and Breezy weather is expected Saturday into Sunday with highs back down to the mid 30s or similar temps to what we just had yesterday.
The outlook is for fair weather with little temperature change Monday then a gradual warming trend beginning Tuesday into the following Thursday. Thursdays highs will reach the 50s. The following weekend is expected to be stormy and cold!
MJO is just leaving Phase Space 1 and is expected to remain in phase space 2 for the next week or two as it slowly progresses East. Over the next 1 to 2 weeks this should have the effect of the contracting the upper jet over the north pacific leading to retrogression toward the last week of the Month. Although the Air-Sea coupled model has backed off for the time being on a wet beginning of March, the current track of the MJO still suggests a period of more snowfall for the Eastern Sierra between the last week of February through the 1st week of March.
Reference Glossary of Weather Terms
Disclaimer: I have been a hobbyist meteorologist for over 30 years here in the Mammoth area and I do this for my personal enjoyment. The National Weather Service saves lives every day . . . I do not. When making important planning decisions please use information provided by the National Weather Service as they are the most knowledgeable and accurate information source available today.