Aspen Fire Sunday Evening Update”

 

Current Situation

Total Personnel 1,828
Size 20,252 acres
Percent Contained 70%
Estimated Containment Date Saturday August 10th, 2013 approx. 12:00 AM
Fuels Involved Timber with mixed chaparral
Fire Behavior Fire continued to be active throughout the north and east sides of the fire. Temperature is increasing and humidity decreasing.

 

Longer Range: 

First half of August will be Normal to below normal in temps and drier then normal

Second half of August will be Normal to above Normal in Temps and there is the possibility of that a period of Monsoon moisture will invade the sierra about the middle of the month of shortly thereafter.

Climate:

September is expected to be warmer then normal with normal to above normal Precip. (Dying Tropical Storm to effect Ca?)

ENSO:

Some Climatic Models for the winter of 2013/14 trending toward weak El Nino Conditions for California. (+.5C)

 

Dr. Howard and the Dweebs……………………………:-)