Monday Night:

A Zonal Flow will give way to a Northwesterly flow aloft mid-week, as heights rise out at about 140 West. This is a cooler and initially windy pattern, until about the Weekend when the upper ridge builds into California and really amplifies northward the following week’  It will be at that time that forecasters will have to pay special attention to the possibility of the westerlies undercutting the upper ridge about a week from this Wednesday.  What the Dweebs like about this possibility is that the MJO moves into phase space 7 then 8 over the next week which supports the Eastern Extension of the Asian Jet to the west coast. A hint may come beforehand as we may hear about reports of heavy rains over the Hawaiian Islands early next week.

The ECMWF shows the break through well and paints up to 9 inches of water over the South Central Sierra on tonight’s 00z Tuesday Run. That would be quite the wet pattern for California.

Until then…….Nothing major out there but some windy/breezy WX along with the cooling……


This forward thinking long-range chatter is not a forecast. The winter has been dry and the persistence of the dry pattern is usually the most likely scenario in a year like this one. However, the Dweebs will also give you “Maverick Thinking”. It is what we do that is most enjoyable. So take it with a grain of thought…..And while Mother Nature plays out her game. It is the Bottom of the 6th inning with three left to score. Lets hope she scores big at the top of the 7th as we go into the first week of March.


As usual……………..Stay tuned……

The Dweeber…………………..;-)