Winters Last Gasp Underway as Cold Upper Low Churns off the Coast of Washington St……Some light snowfall possible over Central Sierra Sunday PM…..Warm up expected next week as the Spring Shifts to Summer Weather…..50th Annual Motocross to be Hot!

Congrats to the Class of 2017!

 

A deep for June, upper low center of 538DM at 500MB was west of Vancouver Island early this morning., with the main upper jet, West-East across Northern California. Winds over the crest are strong,  gusting to 90 MPH out of the WSW.  As the upper jet remains stationary, these winds are likely to continue through the weekend. Earlier this morning a cold front moved through Mammoth Lakes bringing .02 hundreds of an inch of rain. This mainly occurred at about 4:00 AM this morning.  It is cooler today with highs in the upper 50s. Tomorrow the GFS has 2.5C of cooling at 700MB, and 50DM fall in 500MB heights.  I expect another 4 to 5 degrees of cooling with highs on Saturday in the low 50s.   The upper low makes its move to the central OR coast by Saturday morning, then slides SE to Northern CA by late Sunday morning.   Significant height falls do not re-occur over Mammoth until Saturday night. Expect the winds to come up again Saturday night into Sunday, along with increasing clouds and further cooling. During that afternoon Sunday,  A strong Vort center +30 Via the Canadian model, swings over Mammoth Lakes at 5:00PM Sunday. No doubt there is going to be light snowfall in the high country Sunday afternoon of possibly a few inches with the snow level about 7000 to 7500 feet. This may continue through the late evening….Hence Winters Last gasp!

 

Next Week:  Summer on the way!

By Monday, the main wind gradient pushes south of the Owens Valley to the SE deserts of CA; it will still be a bit breezy in Bishop.  Tuesday into Wednesday, Progs show a flat ridge building over California with the ridge increasing in amplitude Thursday into the last weekend of Spring. High temps will return to seasonal norms by Wednesday and go well above normal over the following weekend. The last weekend of Spring looks hot for many areas of California with a Convective pattern setting up for the high country and the chance of Thunderstorms. Otherwise, it is June gloom season for the Coastal sections of CA.

Expect the last of the 40s for highs in Mammoth to occur this Sunday. With upper 50s Monday and 60s Tuesday. Highs low 70s on Wednesday and up to near 80 degrees by Saturday or Sunday with the chance of thunderstorms.

The last shoe to drop that shifts our pattern from Spring to Summer is when the Continental high sets up over the Southwest or even the far west great basin.  That is in the cards now by the next Sunday with guess what? Even the possibility of late afternoon Showers and thunder storms of the Summer time variety.  Take Care…..Summer is almost here! The Summer Solstice is the following Tuesday, the 20th at 9:24PM PDT.

 

Dr Howard and the Dweebs…………………:-)

Above normal temperatures will continue through mid-week before a strong dry cold front moves in Thursday into Friday….Cool Trof to persist into the upcoming Weekend with Below Normal temperatures Expected

Above normal temperatures along with fast moving rivers and creeks will continues through Mid Week while another cool late spring Trof approaches.  Daytime highs, now in the mid 70s in Mammoth and over night lows in the 40s will give way to highs near 60 by Saturday with over night lows in the upper 20s and low 30s by weeks end.  This is all due to a vigorous Trof that is dropping SE out of the Gulf of AK with its target upon extreme Northern CA Northward. Another round of heavy rainfall is expected along coastal areas of Oregon State.  For much of Central and Northern CA,  it will mean mainly Wind and Cooling with a chance of showers.  High temperature’s will begin to recover by the following Tuesday and the weather for the 50th Mammoth Motocross looks very nice with highs returning to the 70s.

Summer Weather;

It is the opinion of Mammoth Weather, that with the deep Solar Minimum approaching, summers will be increasingly cooler than the past 5 years with stronger more frequent afternoon Zephyr’s.  Normal to possibly below normal temperatures and less thunderstorm days are expected for the Central Sierra. Gulf of AK Trofing will remain stronger with migratory short wave incursions to the Northwest pacific coast creating more wind through the Mammoth Pass this summer, and possibly the summers following for the next 5 years.   The continental high may end up being more squashed east west affecting Southern CA more with summertime thunderstorms with periods of anomalous easterly flow remaining well south of the Central Sierra. Winters may tend to be wetter than normal along the central and northern west coast over all.

 

Dr Howard and the Dweebs……………….:-)

Beautiful warm Late Spring Weather continues into Tuesday….Then breezy and cooler Wednesday followed by Warmer Weather Thursday into the following weekend…No Important weather changes ahead…

The spring runoff continues in full swing with High pressure aloft bringing above normal temps. This will likely continue into Tuesday with dry warm weather. High temperatures will remain above normal with highs in the 70s. Lows will continue in the 30s. It will be partly cloudy Wednesday with some cooling as a dry trough of low pressure moves through. There may be some wind and afternoon convection. However, with deep snow cover persisting over the higher elevations, model guidance is most likely over done with the heat related chance of showers, over the crest. Most convection will fire up over areas both east and west of the sierra crest because of this reason. Again, It will be cooler and breezy Wednesday with highs in the upper 60s. Ridging will rebuild into the following weekend for a return to the 70s.   Next chilly trof may greet us, about fathers day. Fathers day climatologically is the last frost at resort levels. (8K)