Mammoth Mt Breaks 41 year snowfall record this weekend……Weather pattern to ridge up by midweek….winds to begin calming down by Tuesday…..Spring will be in the air this week…..

March has been quite a month. Not quite as wet as December 2010, but not since the miracle March of 1991 have we had so much snowfall in March! As of this writing the Dweebs are still waiting for the tally from Ski Patrol to see how much snow is on the plot for the month…..and how close are we to 600 inches??? Have we reached that milestone? Or….are we inches from it.  Go to http://patrol.mammothmountain.com/MMSA-SnowSummary70-Current.htm  later today for the results!

Discussion:

Upper HT 300 Jet now over Oregon will take the jump to the north into Canada by Tuesday night in response to strong eastern pacific ridging pushing in from the west. By Thursday, the upper ridge is sitting over the state of Ca. In the meantime, we will still feel the effects of two remaining short waves. The first is effecting Mammoth at the moment with gusty winds and some snow-shower activity. The other just some clouds and breezes Monday/Ngt.  Highs now are in the 40s in town but will rise into the 50s by mid week, and possibly into the low 60s by Thursday. At 8000 feet, lows at night will be in the teens and 20s then rising into the upper 20 and low 30s by Thursday/Friday.


Longer Range:

The upper ridge is progressive and will break down and shift east Friday into Saturday. The weather “maybe” unsetteled next weekend.  Beyond that time frame, during Week 2, there is some suggestion of the return of more unsettleld WX later that following week. However, as noted in the past, that longer range model skill during April will increasingly suffer as we head into the warmer time of the year.


Next update April 3rd………………Adios!


The Dweeber………………………………:-)

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Reference Glossary of Weather Terms
Disclaimer: I have been a hobbyist meteorologist for over 30 years here in the Mammoth area and I do this for my personal enjoyment. The National Weather Service saves lives every day . . . I do not. When making important planning decisions please use information provided by the National Weather Service as they are the most knowledgeable and accurate information source available today.

Mammoth Mt Breaks All-Time 41 Record for snowfall at Patrol Site…..Ski Patrol indicates that at least 3 to 4 inches has fallen over night to cross that 2.5 remaining inch record……Still well over a foot needed for 600 inch mark…

Mammoth Mt Breaks All-Time 41 Record for snowfall at Patrol Site…..Ski Patrol indicated to the Dweebs by phone this AM,  that at least 3 to 4 inches has fallen overnight to cross that 2.5 remaining inch record……there is still well over a foot needed for the 600 inch mark… The Dweebs imagine that there will be Official announcements coming from Mammoth Mt this weekend.

Discussion:

Hanford and Bay area radar shows precipitation from the coast all the way to the crest this morning with some pretty good returns west of Big Pine on the west side of the crest and another area near Monterrey Bay. Returns are off-shore as well. WRF has about an inch of QPF near the Yosemite area by Sunday morning and so about a foot is possible near the crest and up to 7 inches on the Patrol site. This should push snowfall totals over 580 inches on the patrol site for the first time in over 40 years. Again using the patrol site, it is unlikely that we will get to 600 inches this month. However, very likely that the 600 inch mark will be broken by the end of April, based upon Climo.

Summery:

The main energy with this system is lifting off to the northeast this afternoon living a dissipating cold front across Central Ca. So mainly light snowfall is expected for the residential areas of Mammoth today, and somewhat heavier and orographically enhanced snowfall for the upper elevations on Mammoth Mt. 

The next storm will shift even further to the north Sunday.  So just some snow showers in town with upwards to an inch over the crest possible Sunday/ngt.

The storm track will continue to shift further to the north next week…..so that by Wednesday, we will be under a long wave ridge with above normal temps.  Long range models show the pattern progressive, and so we may have another system to deal with by the next weekend.


Dr Howard and the Dweebs……………………………………:-)




————————————————-
Reference Glossary of Weather Terms
Disclaimer: I have been a hobbyist meteorologist for over 30 years here in the Mammoth area and I do this for my personal enjoyment. The National Weather Service saves lives every day . . . I do not. When making important planning decisions please use information provided by the National Weather Service as they are the most knowledgeable and accurate information source available today.

Mammoth Mountain 3 inches from all time record….Patrol says 576 inches on plot!

Total on plot according to Patrol 576 inches……

Get ready to celebrate a record breaking winter! Mammoth Mountain is inches away from pushing past 578.5 inches. Just three more inches and we will be there!

Forecast……another 6 to 12 inches up on Mammoth Mountain between two storms Saturday/ngt and Sunday/Ngt

600 inches before April 1st? Probably not, as we need about another 2 feet. However, by May 1st a good gamble!

For those that live in Mammoth….you are living through an epic winter!


Forecast:

Expect snow showers today with the possibility of an inch or two over the crest by tonight. Highs in the low 30s lows in the teens.

The next two storms are quick northwest sliders…… This is a 6 feet of wind and 3 to 6 inches of snow forcast for the town.  Storms are tracking mainly to our north.


So unsettled wx through the weekend then we ridge up about mid week!  Will the ridge be dirty or will it be clear. Will it be breezy or calm.

What’s garenteed???   Warmer temps for sure!


Stay Tuned!

Dr Howard and the Dweebs………………………….:-)





————————————————-
Reference Glossary of Weather Terms
Disclaimer: I have been a hobbyist meteorologist for over 30 years here in the Mammoth area and I do this for my personal enjoyment. The National Weather Service saves lives every day . . . I do not. When making important planning decisions please use information provided by the National Weather Service as they are the most knowledgeable and accurate information source available today.