High temperature records fall in big numbers……MJO Update

What a day! Mid January in Mammoth and temps like early spring!

The high today was 56 at the Village at Mammoth breaking the old record of 53 set back in 1994. As of 2:40 pm the high in Bishop was 75 so far today with higher temps still possible. The old record was smashed by 4 degrees set back in 1958. Another warm day for January is in the cards for Tuesday.

The eastern pacific ridge is set up along the west coast and so record highs are occurring over Southern Ca as well.  A mild off shore flow is coupled with unusually high heights for this time of the year.

An inside slider will intensify the off shore flow Wednesday night for LA. So more of a strong Santana will result.

Over the next few days the eastern pacific ridge will retrograde westward allowing for some Great Basin cooling to move in from the North Wednesday into Thursday. Night time lows will return to the single digits and teens during Mid week.

Over all, we are in a typical positive phase PNA pattern that is common during Mid January. This pattern is highlighted by strong temperature inversions…warmer then normal temps over all with little in the way of precipitation. This pattern often times can last 21 days.  Dry weather is expected through the next Weekend.,

MJO:

The inter-seasonal phenomena convective portion has moved into the Western Pacific…and although a strengthing upper jet is in process….it has not progressed into the Eastern Pacific.  Its location in phase 6 often times is associated with above normal precip in Central California. It is still progressing eastward. Phases 7 and 8 are even more favorable for increased storminess for Central and Northern California.

CPC is not encouraged as there has been thus far, no indication from the numerical guidance (GFS or ECMWF) (Week 2) of a pattern change to wet for California.  The Dweebs comment….There is still plenty of time. Will keep weary eye on the subject!


More later……..The Dweeber!





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Reference Glossary of Weather Terms
Disclaimer: I have been a hobbyist meteorologist for over 30 years here in the Mammoth area and I do this for my personal enjoyment. The National Weather Service saves lives every day . . . I do not. When making important planning decisions please use information provided by the National Weather Service as they are the most knowledgeable and accurate information source available today.

Another Fair Week Ahead With Cooler Weather By Mid-Week Again…..MJO On The Move As Well

Just a quick up date this morning as the Dweebs are waiting for the new MJO outlook from CPC later today.

The Weather will be beautiful today. Highs in the low 50s for the Town Of Mammoth. Expect gusty ridge top winds to 50MPH. Then Cooler with an Great basin slider Wednesday/NGT.


The upcoming week will be dry…………………..


Santana wind set up for Southern Ca Wednesday night and early Thursday morning.


Update this evening…….


Dr Howard and the Dweebs…………………….:-)

————————————————-
Reference Glossary of Weather Terms
Disclaimer: I have been a hobbyist meteorologist for over 30 years here in the Mammoth area and I do this for my personal enjoyment. The National Weather Service saves lives every day . . . I do not. When making important planning decisions please use information provided by the National Weather Service as they are the most knowledgeable and accurate information source available today.

Continued Breezy Over the Crest Through Monday……Cooler By Wednesday…..MJO Stalls over the Maritime Continent

Not much to add this morning. An upper ridge off shore is far enough west to allow breezy conditions to continue over the upper elevations this weekend. Winds will gust to 60MPH over the crest. Temps will be little changed now with Mammoth Lakes highs in the upper 40s to low 50s through Monday. Expect temps from 5 to 10 degrees cooler up on Mammoth MT.

Expect lots of high clouds at times….especially Sunday as a short wave passed to our north. The weather looks dry for the next 5 days with cooler weather ahead by mid-week with the addition of more wind by Wednesday and Thursday. Normal highs for Mammoth this time of the year is about 40 degrees…. with lows in the low 20s. We are above normal  temperature wise.


MJO has stalled out over the Maritime Continent……will update on it progress Monday.


Have a great HolidayWeekend!


Dr Howard and the Dweebs…………………………..:-)

————————————————-
Reference Glossary of Weather Terms
Disclaimer: I have been a hobbyist meteorologist for over 30 years here in the Mammoth area and I do this for my personal enjoyment. The National Weather Service saves lives every day . . . I do not. When making important planning decisions please use information provided by the National Weather Service as they are the most knowledgeable and accurate information source available today.