Burr! The Chill Is On….Mammoth Marmot Says 6 More Weeks Of Winter!

Mammoth Marmot saw his shadow this morning. He braved the cold modified Arctic Air to do his job. 6 more weeks of winter……Hope he’s right!

Chilly morning in Mammoth with the lows  -1F  (FS) to +5F (Mammoth Weather.com-8200ft) at Sunrise. Winds over the tippy-tops that gusted to 80MPH yesterday were only gusting to 50mph this morning. Moderate winds just over the crest will continue today up to about 50MPH.

Modified Arctic air will continue to effect our area today with highs near freezing……the Surface high over the Rockies this morning had a barometric pressure of 31.06!  No doubt that system was interconnected with the strong deep low that traveled up toward Chicago yesterday that brought an historic blizzard to that greater region.

Forecast:

Back west….The forecast shows the upper ridge off shore building into the west coast far enough east to send freezing levels up to 12,000 by Friday. That is going to set up quite a temperature inversion the next day or two. For Mammoth, it means that after today, highs will moderate into the upper 30s Thursday, then well into the 40s by Friday and even 50 by Saturday.  However, our neighbors that live along the highway 395 corridor will experience very cold temps the next few mornings with lows -10 to -15 or colder in some locations. Daytime highs could be trapped in the twenties tomorrow throughout Long valley and Bridgeport valley.

Longer Range:

The Good News: There is a large spread in the ensembles over the far west and eastern pacific. This means that there is less confidence in the latest deterministic model runs yesterday and today for that time period. (Mid-February)

The Bad News: There is an increase in ensemble members trending away from the idea now of any retrogression far enough west for a wet pattern setting up by Mid February. The next few days will be more important to the trend of the way the pattern is going to go.


Think Snow>>>>>>>

On the Sunspot Cycle-Global Cooling Arena…Check out John L. Casey’s latest update!

1.  http://spaceandscience.net/id16.html

2.  http://spaceandscience.net/id67.html


Dr Howard and the Dweebs………………………..:-)


————————————————-
Reference Glossary of Weather Terms
Disclaimer: I have been a hobbyist meteorologist for over 30 years here in the Mammoth area and I do this for my personal enjoyment. The National Weather Service saves lives every day . . . I do not. When making important planning decisions please use information provided by the National Weather Service as they are the most knowledgeable and accurate information source available today.

Storm Total up to 15 inches on Mammoth Mt!

See earlier update….

————————————————-
Reference Glossary of Weather Terms
Disclaimer: I have been a hobbyist meteorologist for over 30 years here in the Mammoth area and I do this for my personal enjoyment. The National Weather Service saves lives every day . . . I do not. When making important planning decisions please use information provided by the National Weather Service as they are the most knowledgeable and accurate information source available today.

Snowfall on the Mountain Up To 9 inches at the Main Lodge….6 Inches Near The Village….More inThe Way….

12:55pm update at the Bottom:


Interesting little system.   Nice small compact front came through pretty quick this morning bringing some 5 inches of snow to the Village and 8 inches in a very quick period. Mammoth Mt actually picked up close to 6 inches within an hour.

With the Front through…..the Storm is showery now. The new 12z WRF has the system tracking a bit more to the south east then south southeast. Although we have probably seen the lions share, there is some good vertical motion developing over the  San Joaquin Valley evidenced by the 4km IR,  that has yet to swing through the Eastern Sierra. The National Weather service has bumped up the Snowfall amounts for Mammoth above 7000 feet between 6 and 12 inches and up to 16 inches over the crest.  Nice!

The Storm should be over for the most part by the late afternoon with a few lingering snow showers tonight.  Tomorrow with be breezy chilly and dry with highs in the 20s and then colder Tuesday into Wednesday. Night time lows in the single digits and teens….Looks like another dry week with  fresh packed powder! 


12:50PM Update:


Latest radar returns show most of the action has slipped south and on the west side of the Sierra. Looks like were pretty much done now.

Weather Service Forecast Office RNO has reversed it’s 9:30am update and reverted to 3:30am snowfall forecast for the Town at now at 3 to 7 inches total.

The Dweebs think we are pretty much done excluding as stray few showers…


Snowfall total……about 6 inches near the village and 11 to 15 inches at the Main Lodge and Mammoth  Crest.

The Dweeber……………:-)

————————————————-
Reference Glossary of Weather Terms
Disclaimer: I have been a hobbyist meteorologist for over 30 years here in the Mammoth area and I do this for my personal enjoyment. The National Weather Service saves lives every day . . . I do not. When making important planning decisions please use information provided by the National Weather Service as they are the most knowledgeable and accurate information source available today.