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Archive for March, 2011
MAMMOTH MOUNTAIN PICKED UP ANOTHER 12 TO 18 INCHES STORM TOTAL……NEXT SYSTEM LATE IN THE WEEKEND LOOKS SIMULAR IN STYLE ALTHOUGH IT MAY BE A BETTER PRECIP PRODUCER…..UPDATED TIMING VIA HOVMOLLER
Thursday March 3, 2011
A few linger snow showers are possible this morning. As current system exits….the upper jet still keeps it breezy this morning in the swift WSW upper flow. Upper ridging will build in this evening and diminish winds overnight somewhat. Without any major ridging….there will continue to be clouds and breezy conditions into the weekend.
Next swath of tropical/Subtropical moisture will leave Hawaiian Islands Friday and head for Northern and Central Ca for Saturday. The meat of it really does not get into the Central Sierra until Saturday night with the bulk of it destined for Northern Ca. This is sort of a replay of the pattern we just went through, except that the colder portion of this next system is colder, more dynamic and negative tilt for Late Sunday night into Monday. Warm advection precipitation with higher snow levels will again effect the Mammoth area Saturday night into Sunday with the snow level plummeting about Sunday Midnight with the FROPA. 1000mb-500mb thicknesses is about 534dm by early Monday am behind the front. Should be good for a 3500 to 4000 foot Snow Level Monday Am. Best guess….Looks like another foot and a half for the crest. Will update on QPF Friday for the end of the week.
Models are forecasting a ridge over us next Wednesday for some nice weather…..Then timing of next system about Thursday night.
12z 1st-12z 5th Sat AM
12z 4th-12z 8th Tues AM
00z 7th-00z 11th Thu PM
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Disclaimer: I have been a hobbyist meteorologist for over 30 years here in the Mammoth area and I do this for my personal enjoyment. The National Weather Service saves lives every day . . . I do not. When making important planning decisions please use information provided by the National Weather Service as they are the most knowledgeable and accurate information source available today.