New Articles regarding the sunspot cycle worth reading…….

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/06/14/all-three-of-these-lines-of-research-to-point-to-the-familiar-sunspot-cycle-shutting-down-for-a-while/

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/06/17/easterbrook-on-the-potential-demise-of-sunspots/

http://www.kusi.com/video?clipId=5960003&autostart=true


Latest guidance showing stronger height rises early this week with mid summertime temps for the first few days of Summer. New 12z WRF has 1000-500mb thicknesses in the upper 580sDM for highs low 80s in Mammoth and 105 in Bishop by Midweek.  This is probably over done as new 12z GFS showing same thicknesses of about 582DM.  Late Don Marcillien’s thickness study for late June/early July in the Owens Valley showed that a 1000-500mb Thickness of 580-582dm for a few days can yield anywhere from about 101 to 104F at the Bishop Airport. This looks possible by Wednesday or Thursday. The Dweebs will take another look at it Monday AM.


All global models begin to flatten and break down the upper ridge beginning Thursday. The high country like Mammoth/June will experience the beginnings of the cooling first with gusty winds in the afternoon and evening hours. Highs in Mammoth by next weekend may pull back ino the low to mid 70s. By Friday…the cooling will spread into the Owens Valley sending temps back into the mid 90s over the weekend.  Longer range models are at odds with themself’s by the end June. The GFS has a moderate trof and the ECMWF cuts the trof off, well off shore, while an intense ridge builds over California with HT 500 heights over 594DM on the 29th.  The EC is pretty……Roasty-Toasty! 

 

This will be fun to watch how it plays out!………………………

 

Dr Howard and the Dweebs………………………………:-)

 

PS: 

Negative Phase PDO going strong!  Lots of cold H2O along the west coast north of 34N…. 

June Gloomy conditions likely along the Coastal sections of Ca next week. 

Happy Fathers Day! 

The Dweeber……………………………..:-)


————————————————-
Reference Glossary of Weather Terms
Disclaimer: I have been a hobbyist meteorologist for over 30 years here in the Mammoth area and I do this for my personal enjoyment. The National Weather Service saves lives every day . . . I do not. When making important planning decisions please use information provided by the National Weather Service as they are the most knowledgeable and accurate information source available today.