Brought to you by Howard Sheckter
Change in pattern is still dry…However will be cold enough to start making snow….Winds will pick up Sunday with most Aspens of Strong Autumn Color getting stripped of leaves……Weather to be Chilly for All Hallows Eve….Then Seasonal Temps returning later in the week…Another Cold Slider possible the following Sunday or Monday….
Saturday October 27, 2018
10:00am Tuesday:
This morning is back to the same idea as the weekend that it will be a cooler day today. Highs near 50. Colder night tonight.
Eastern flank of ridge back into CA this weekend for warmer then normal temps and low 60s…
Next chance of WX system is the 10th….
Monday PM the 29th:
One of the changes this morning show that the winds are a lot lower than the earlier guidance suggested. So far, the gusts over the sierra crest early this afternoon were only to 40 MPH. They were supposed to be in the 50 to 60MPH class. Additionally, the amount of cooling is also less. In fact the new guidance suggests that high temps on Tuesday which is supposed to be the coolest day of the week, now is actually looking a bit warmer than today Monday. So in all actuality, the amount of cooling in this Trof is probably about 1/2 of what was expected. The next few days look seasonal temperatures wise, mid to upper 50s with ridging building closer to CA Thursday into the weekend. Daytime temps shows highs back into the low to mid 60s as early as Thursday, then staying there into the weekend. Nighttime lows in the 20s tonight, Tuesday and Wednesday will rise to the low 30s over the weekend. More NW slider type systems are expected next week.
The following week looks dry as well with periods of cooling and warming and breeze. The Climate Forecast System shows winter showing up the last two weeks of November. The other inter seasonal guidance available to me, the European model, I will share later tomorrow Tuesday or Wednesday AM.
Dr Howard and the Dweebs………………………:-)
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The last weekend of October finishes off on a warm Saturday then a windy and cooler Sunday…..Cooling will continue into Tuesday with highs some 20 degrees cooler Tuesday as compared to today Saturday. Some moderation in temps will occur Thursday into Saturday then turning breezy again the following Sunday with again more cooling. This outlook expresses the possibility of an inside slider, dropping into the Great Basin. As far as precip goes….nothing in sight of significance. Only Precip is going to be what Mammoth Mt can deliver in the Dweeb’s Long Range week two outlook.
Note; I will have EPS ECMWF snowfall update next Tuesday. (45 day outlook) PS. so far it has not done all that well….
Dr Howard and the Dweebs…………………………….:-)