Updated Saturday AM 5:00AM:

Officially our forecast area is under a winter weather advisory for Saturday at 10:00AM through Sunday 10:00AM. However, the models did come in a bit wetter this afternoon. So in order to keep from yo-yoing the winter weather advisory will remain, Nevertheless, I believe that it is quite possible to reach winter storm criteria within this time frame here in the Town of Mammoth near the Village (12 inches).

Mammoth Mt by Sunday noon, there could be up to two feet over the crest.. The Sunday afternoon into Monday morning storm is more focused to our north. However, it is highlighted by the dreaded NW upper jet. So it will be especially windy. Surprisingly, the WFO forecast is for another 6 to 10 inches of snow Sunday night for Mammoth MT and some 3 to 7 inches in town. Local Blizzard conditions may result from the wind storm expected Sunday night….

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Winter Storm Watch has been downgraded to Winter Weather Advisory. However, Mammoth Mt still expecting the upper end of Moderate amounts as the criteria is 6 to 18 inches in a 24 hour period.

It will be unsettled Sunday and Sunday night with wind….Snow or Snow Showers and colder temps. Expect Gradual Improving conditions later Monday afternoon into Tuesday Morning. A new wetter storm moves in Tuesday night into Thursday.

12:45pm Update RE: EURO MODEL….European Model is onboard now with GFS model for the mid week system with more consolidated upper flow, making it another strong Moderate to possibly Heavy snow producer for Wednesday and Thursday next week….

From Thursday AM; A series of Storms is headed for the high county beginning this weekend. The initial storm will he highlighted by two distant areas of lift. The first one will lift the warm sector with a cold front Saturday with the heaviest precipitation rates expected Saturday afternoon into the early evening hours. The second portion riding into the cold air will be more showery in nature with lighter snowfall accumulation’s expected Sunday…. The combination of the two storms is expected to bring between 1 to 2 feet of snowfall to Mammoth Mt by Monday AM. The Town of Mammoth will see all snowfall from beginning to end as the freezing level will begin about 7,000.
Thus the snow level will start at or below 6000 feet. Around a foot of snow is expected Saturday into Sunday for the town. There is likley to be travel restriction’s along highway 395 Saturday and Saturday night. Strong gusty winds with periods of heavy snowfall will make travel hazardous. All vehicle’s should at least carry chains for the trans-sierra portion of highway 395 this weekend.

The outlook for next week continues to improve for the prospects of significant additional snowfall. The New 12Z Thursday GFS model, has the following mid week system coming in much more consolidated now, similar to this Saturday’s storm. Although as of this post, the Dweebs have not seen the new European’s, Thursday 12Z run to compare with. This morning’s 12Z GFS is very encouraging as it has a wetter scenario due to a deeper fetch from the southwest and a cyclonically curved upper jet. This mid week storm was expected to split with weaker results due to the splitting process. The more consolidated scenario is capable of delivering several feet of snowfall if it is correct.

The Dweebs will keep all of you updated on these changing weather forecasts over the next week….

Dr Howard and the Dweebs…………………:-)