4:35pm Sunday

Models still beating the drum of a cold moderate storm. 6 to 18 inches with the average snowfall amount of about a foot.  This is mainly a Tuesday through Thursday storm.  There are several more systems expected the following week.  More later……


The Dweeber…………………….


It’s March…..And what we would normally expect over this part of the hemisphere is a weakening Hudson Bay Low; AKA Polar Vortex.   The feature that often provide blocking in the wrong place for California is now Absent!  This will gives California the opportunity to play catch up on our subnormal snowpack over the next two weeks.   At the moment, it is running about 50% of normal for this time of the year.  Looking at the precipitation portion of the European Ensembles out through the 17th, the model gives the crest up to 4 feet of snow through that period and the climate models keep it coming beyond that time frame.  Keep in mind, without a substantial AR, were not going to get heavy amounts….. And so far, none is indicated…  The new developing pattern for next week shows a series of cold Trofs heading into all of California beginning Monday with the longwave position parked just off or along the California coast beginning this Friday night then through the following weekend. In that the storms are cold, expect the powder to be lighter than normal…

In the meantime, we have a couple of nuisance systems to deal with.  One moving through Southern CA today that may bring a few showers and another that is focused mainly on the northern sierra this weekend that may bring an inch or two to Mammoth Lakes.  Highs this weekend will be in the 40s with lows in the teens and 20s.  It will be breezy more often than not this weekend. The more active pattern begins this upcoming Monday and continues beyond…..


Dr Howard and the Dweebs………………..:-)