Brought to you by Howard Sheckter
Atmospheric River moves on shore later today…Latest model runs trend Bullseye further north to Tahoe…..Much colder storms expected next week……
Thursday April 5, 2018
Latest Update on the AR this Saturday morning the 7th:
- The AR will be out of the Mammoth Area between 11:00am and Noon.. A few showers may linger….
- No snow is expected in the Town of Mammoth
- Little if any snow is expected on Mammoth Mt following the system…..Above 9500 feet there may be an inch or two.
- Cooler air is following the rain, and precipitation should be mostly over by the time the rain ends.
Two more windy systems will move in mid-week. They will be colder and snow fall will be in the light category. 1 to 3 inches Tuesday night. and the system for Wednesday night into Thursday storm will bring the best chance of 6” plus of snowfall on Mammoth Mountain
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Some great news this morning…..
The good news this morning is that model consensus shows that the AR will affect the Northern Sierra with the greatest precipitation totals while the southern portion of the Central Sierra will have mainly moderate amounts. Computer generated QPF now showing up to three inches of water over the crest with about 2 inches in town and about an inch of water along the highway 395 corridor. Rain is likely to reach the sierra crest up to 12,000 before the snow level comes down to 9000 on Saturday. Additionally, there is the suggestion that snowfall amounts will be in the 6 to 12 inch range on the mountain Saturday and a few inches possible in town. Down the road….two colder storms look likely to bring light to moderate snowfall Tuesday into Wednesday AM and again Wednesday night into Thursday. The Wednesday/Thursday system looks stronger than the Tuesday night storm and may bring enough snow in town for a plow.
Precipitation may begin as snow around Midnight tonight, even in town Friday, until our air mass becomes saturated later in the day, so do not be surprised if we get a couple of inches of snowfall early Friday before it turns to rain….
Dr Howard and the Dweebs………………….:-)