Brought to you by Howard Sheckter
Summer goes out on a quiet note and Autumn Equinox arrives at 6:31 AM Local time Tuesday…..Some Increase in SW breeze this week then Quiet weather Wednesday and Thursday with more breeze Friday……Another heat spell on the Horizon…
Monday September 21, 2020
The Tempo really picking up in the long range with potential for record high temps early next week and more critical fire weather, Beginning Sunday and well beyond…….See discussion from two days ago below.
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Today is the last full day of Summer. Like many days of 2020, I am looking forward to getting on with the Fall and Winter. Cooler days and eventually Snowfall will put an end to the Smoke from the Creek Fire. There is no telling how many people have been affected by the long term effects of the smoke and hazardous air quality throughout Mono County This Summer. Those PM 2.5 smoke particles are toxic to everyone.
The first couple of days this week are highlighted by the effects of Trofing in the GOA and Pacific NW. Expect more SW breeze today and tomorrow Tuesday with a fairly Calm Day wind wise on Wednesday. No doubt that there will be more smoke from the Creek Fire…..Early this week. For Wednesday, there is a small upper high over the top of us bringing us a warmer day. Another Trof moving into the Pacific Northwest Thursday will bring an increase of wind Thursday afternoon into Friday. This does not look like a wind event. We could still have winds in the 25 to 35 MPH range.
Longer Range:
The Dweebs are watching a tropical storm in the western pacific #14. The global models spin up this system later this week, and constructively phase with an approaching trof coming off Asia this weekend. The down stream effects are; amplification of the downstream upper air pattern with a deepening Trof just east of the dateline and strong ridging in the Eastern Pacific. This ridge is progged to build into California later Saturday into Sunday and Monday. If this scenario sets up, it may be similar to early September when hot temperatures developed over CA. This pattern is not as extreme for CA as early in the month as it will be late September and early October by then. Nevertheless, Offshore flow (Santa Ana winds) are indicated and hot weather will develop again in parts of the state and especially Southern CA. Sunday into Tuesday, the end of the Month. “This is an outlook at this time, not a forecast”
Upper 70s or low 80s in Mammoth may be in our future next week….Nights will still cool into the 30s..
Dr Howard and the Dweebs………………:-)