Looking at todays 12Z ECMWF day 5 means, it is apparent that although no significant storms are in the picture. There will be additional short wave Trofs that will deepen over the Northern Great Basin, producing a few showers during periods of daytime heating, into early next week. Warmer weather is expect the middle of next week before another round of cooing arrives later in the week. Temperatures through the period will average above normal this mid week then near normal into the weekend and early next week. No major Hard Freezes are expected anytime soon.

As mentioned before, the Dweebs are expecting a warmer then normal July with more Thunderstorms than last Summer. ENSO is behaving in a way that suggests; 1. No El Nino  over the next 6 months. 2. Enso Neutral conditions this Summer; 3. Possible Weak La Nina conditions next Fall.

Comment; Often times a very week La Nina is good sign for a stormy winter here in Mammoth, as the MJO can remain active as it is able to circumnavigate the globe, via the Equator.

Latest Discussion from The Global Tropics Hazards and Benefits Outlook Discussion indicates that the MJO will remain especially strong moving off the coast of Africa with (Week 1) favoring a -PNA over the far west. Thus more  episode’s of breezy or windy weather can be expected to return in the high country. This time of the Year, areas of convection along areas of surface convergence is more likely well over Nevada. Better definitive forecasts when we get closer in that time time.

Later Week 2, has MJO moving is projected to the Maritime Continent and eventually Western Pacific again with hot weather likely the result, returning to California later in the month.

Dr Howard and the Dweebs………………:-)