Brought to you by Howard Sheckter
Weak double hit this weekend will provide some showers and cooler weather…..Warm up expected early next week…..Long Range models not showing any signifacant storms for the rest of April…..
Friday April 19, 2019
No surprises this morning…upper low over Vegas. It will move slowly east…Then begin to accelerate eastward Tuesday, with the affect of lighter winds as the day goes on. Light breezes are expected Tuesday night and Wednesday. It will warm between 10 and 15 degrees by Wednesday. It will be a bit cooler next weekend with the chance of a few instability showers Saturday and Sunday. Hi temps today mid 50 then low to mid 60 Thursday and Friday.
Next stormy cooler period about months end or early May.
Dr Howard and the Dweebs……….?
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Easter Sunday:
A few instability showers are possible Sunday afternoon, however no measurable precipitation expected. Upper Trof to remain over the Desert SW through Monday Night with northerly or Northeasterly flow. Upper trof progress east Tuesday and Wednesday. A rapid warm up is expected Tuesday into Wednesday, before another weak Trof moves through the following weekend. That system looks unlikely to bring much more then high clouds, some minor cooling and breezy weather. Next windy, cooler showery weather expect about May1st…
Highs in Mammoth Sunday near 50, then mid 50s Monday and 60s Tuesday and Wednesday. Lows in the 20s rising to the 30s next week….
Note: MJO developing in phase 2 then travels through phase 5. This time of year the MJO usually has little effect. However, this year seems to be a different animal too.
Dr Howard and the Dweebs……………………:-)
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Saturday Afternoon… 1:15PM
Mammoth Mt currently on Lightning hold at the moment. Latest lightning detection shows some cloud to cloud spikes to the west of Mammoth Mt.
Frontal band is weakening and should be through by about 2:00 PM this afternoon. So far we’ve picked up .12 inches of rain in town. Still RAIN/SLEET..
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The on again off again pattern of every 3 days, a weak storm, appears to becoming to an end by this Monday. Meanwhile, we do have some unsettled weather Saturday into Sunday AM with showers possible with light precipitation totals expected. The are two weather systems off the coast. 1. Subtropical low lifting ENE through California tonight. 2. A cooler short wave coming in Saturday from the NW. The Northwesterly short wave appears to have the best UVM. So afternoon showers best bet with daytime convection. Expect Saturdays highs to cool to the MID 50s, from Fridays 60s and then low 50s for Easter Sunday. Nights will cool to the upper 20s the next few days…. So this weekend may experience the last of the showers and significant cooling for awhile…..But not for this Spring. There is always the chance for some instability showers now and then, but not much cooling associated with it.
Just a gut feeling…..I do expect a decent storm or two in May. This may be one of those Springs that really warm up in the Owens Valley, only to get hit hard with a frost, later in May.
Dr Howard and the Dweebs……………………..:-)