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Mammoth Weather Outlook
Mammoth Mt Breaks All-Time 41 Record for snowfall at Patrol Site…..Ski Patrol indicates that at least 3 to 4 inches has fallen over night to cross that 2.5 remaining inch record……Still well over a foot needed for 600 inch mark…
Saturday March 26, 2011
Mammoth Mt Breaks All-Time 41 Record for snowfall at Patrol Site…..Ski Patrol indicated to the Dweebs by phone this AM, that at least 3 to 4 inches has fallen overnight to cross that 2.5 remaining inch record……there is still well over a foot needed for the 600 inch mark… The Dweebs imagine that there will be Official announcements coming from Mammoth Mt this weekend.
Discussion:
Hanford and Bay area radar shows precipitation from the coast all the way to the crest this morning with some pretty good returns west of Big Pine on the west side of the crest and another area near Monterrey Bay. Returns are off-shore as well. WRF has about an inch of QPF near the Yosemite area by Sunday morning and so about a foot is possible near the crest and up to 7 inches on the Patrol site. This should push snowfall totals over 580 inches on the patrol site for the first time in over 40 years. Again using the patrol site, it is unlikely that we will get to 600 inches this month. However, very likely that the 600 inch mark will be broken by the end of April, based upon Climo.
Summery:
The main energy with this system is lifting off to the northeast this afternoon living a dissipating cold front across Central Ca. So mainly light snowfall is expected for the residential areas of Mammoth today, and somewhat heavier and orographically enhanced snowfall for the upper elevations on Mammoth Mt.
The next storm will shift even further to the north Sunday. So just some snow showers in town with upwards to an inch over the crest possible Sunday/ngt.
The storm track will continue to shift further to the north next week…..so that by Wednesday, we will be under a long wave ridge with above normal temps. Long range models show the pattern progressive, and so we may have another system to deal with by the next weekend.
Dr Howard and the Dweebs……………………………………:-)
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Disclaimer: I have been a hobbyist meteorologist for over 30 years here in the Mammoth area and I do this for my personal enjoyment. The National Weather Service saves lives every day . . . I do not. When making important planning decisions please use information provided by the National Weather Service as they are the most knowledgeable and accurate information source available today.