Brought to you by Howard Sheckter
Mammoth Weather Outlook
21 inches at the Village at Mammoth and Counting…..
Friday February 18, 2011
This has been certainly one of the more difficult storms to forecast. The idea of late yesterday afternoon in keeping the main snow amounts of the first system north of Tioga Pass/Yosemite is pretty much been thrown out with the bucket. The two little jewels (short waves) that the Dweebs wrote about two days ago are heal to heal. The weather front is stationary just north of Tahoe. So what will appear to happen, will be that the first of the two systems hit us broad side later today and tonight. The has been a tremendous amount of IR enhancement on the Satellite that past several hours. HPC QPF indicates that we could easily see double of what we have already received this morning. Since the system will lift from the southwest…the will be a period of warmer air with it….and so snow to water ratios will go down with it being wetter…before the ratios increase again afterwords.
The weather front is expected to become more north/south orientated by early Saturday morning so the second system will hit mainly to the south of us Saturday. It will be showery Saturday as the cold core moves through with improving weather Sunday.
Longer Range:
Although there will be a few cold showery periods between Sunday and the end of the Month….The next good sized storm will come in “about” the 1st of March.
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Reference Glossary of Weather Terms
Disclaimer: I have been a hobbyist meteorologist for over 30 years here in the Mammoth area and I do this for my personal enjoyment. The National Weather Service saves lives every day . . . I do not. When making important planning decisions please use information provided by the National Weather Service as they are the most knowledgeable and accurate information source available today.