Warming Trend underway w/ decreasing wind over the Crest as an Upper Ridge Translates East via CA…..Weak Troughing the second half of this week spells Breezy Afternoons…..Interesting ENSO numbers today…..
Monday April 27, 2015
Posted at 9:06 am by Howard
The High Country is recovering from a cold wet Saturday and a cool Sunday. However 500MB heights are rebounding quickly today with about 10 degrees of warming expected. Another 6 to 7 degrees of warming is expected Tuesday. by Mid week a weak trof of low pressure will approach the west coast and bring breezy afternoons and some high clouds. Temps my cool a few degrees but remain above normal. Another weak area of low pressure will conditionally unstable air aloft for the slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms. High temps will still remain above the norm for this time of the year with afternoon highs in the low 60s. Nighttime lows are currently in the 20s and 30s will moderate mostly into the 30s this week Over all a really nice springtime week….
Winter weather advisories hoisted for Saturday morning through the afternoon…Rather blustery Fishing Opener Expected….Expect rapid warming early next week……
Friday April 24, 2015
Posted at 9:51 am by Howard
Saturday 5:15 PM
Mammoth Pass: .72
Main Lodge . 52
Snowfall Village 6 inches
Main Lodge 9 inches
Top old Woolly 12 inches
Friday AM Update:
Winter weather advisories are hoisted for Mono County beginning 5:00AM to 5:00PM Saturday. Northwest slider to bring 4 to 8 inches of snowfall accumulations in Town of Mammoth with up to 10 inches over Mammoth Mt. High temps on Saturday at 8000 will be in the upper 30s with the snow level 6500 feet.
Crowley Lake Forecast ….
Rain/Snow mix to become all snow by 11:00AM Saturday with 1 to 3 inches possible at Lake Level and 2 to 4 inches possible for community of Crowley Lake. Expect winds 15 to 30 out of the west Saturday AM….Becoming NW by Noon. Winds will become Northerly by 3:00PM Saturday with gusts to 30MPH. High temps at Lake Level will be in the mid to upper 40s on Saturday. Snowfall will end by evening. Sunday will dawn clear with a low of 25. Expect North Winds Sunday 5 to 15 MPH w/gusts to 20mph. High temps Sunday will climb to near 60. Rapid warming will occur Monday into Tuesday. The expected high temps Monday will reach 72 and Tuesday 78. Lows in the low 30s. Breezes will be light Monday and Tuesday.
Outlook: Afternoons will become breezy again Wednesday and especially Thursday. Dry weather is expected next week.
Showers and Thunder to continue through Saturday with Possible Grand Finale’ Saturday Morning…….Much warmer and drier Sunday into Wednesday…
Thursday April 23, 2015
Posted at 1:47 pm by Howard
Showers lined up along areas of deformation From Eastern Ca and over Nevada This afternoon. 850mb Deformation axis ran from Highway 50 east to Austin, NV. There was another deformation axis at 750MB over Southern NV with showers associated with it. Over Southern Mono CO, at 1:30PM the LI index was 0 and without much focusing just some scattered showers were occurring. Most of the showers were near and west of Mammoth Mt.
The models have trended wetter into the first half of the weekend. Tomorrow looks to be another active day with showers a few thunderstorms.
Of most importance, is the short wave that is looking quite dynamic for late Friday night into Saturday. The System is digging as it swings inland from the NW. Normally a system like this would not bring much more than some snow showers. However, with so much antecedent moisture in place already, all we need is some good dynamic lift for a good snowfall. The best timing seems to be Friday night into Saturday morning. The Dweebs see 6 to 12 inches over the upper elevation possible by Saturday PM…
Get it while its cold as a big warm up is in store for us early next week!!!