First Mono County Whimpy Winter Storm Headed Into the High Country Early Monday AM….Precip to end By Thursday Morning followed by dry weather through the end of the month..
Saturday October 20, 2012
Posted at 3:44 pm by Howard
OK….Looked at the guidance this morning…IE 00Z EC, 12Z WRF and GFS out to 96 hours and I have to tell you that it is not all that exciting for Southern Mono County. Yes the EC is still touting .8 to .9 inches up near the crest by Thursday AM and if that is correct then up 8 to 10 inches over the most favored areas of the higher terrain. However, the GFS is a lot drier. When you consider where the upper jet is setting up at 300MB…..the axis “never gets” down to Central Mono County, let alone Southern Mono County through 96 hours I am now favoring the GFS with it drier solution.
So…this still looks like a storm that favors Alpine county northward with the Bulls-Eye West-Northwest of Tahoe. Additionally, there will be a lot of shadowing so that areas east of Highway 395 will probably get next to nothing. So best guess….Mammoth Crest 3 to 6 inches….with 2 to 3 inches at the village over the next 2 to 3 days. Precipitation will begin tonight at about 06Z to 08Z Monday.
So, as the O’L saying goes…..Expect 6 feet of Wind and light snowfall amounts……..
Dr Howard and the Dweebs………………………………:-)
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Disclaimer: I have been a hobbyist meteorologist for over 30 years here in the Mammoth area and I do this for my personal enjoyment. The National Weather Service saves lives every day . . . I do not. When making important planning decisions please use information provided by the National Weather Service as they are the most knowledgeable and accurate information source available today.