Wednesday Evening….

 

So Far about 8 inches of the wet stuff has fallen on the snow plott at the main lodge. With about 2.75 inches of water EQ.  Pretty Wet!

As far as the storm….It has barely started!   What we have had is warm air advection without any vertical motion to speak of.  Tomorrow, the vertical motion in the atmosphere will begin, especially later in the morning….and watch what happens….It will be quite serious by about Lunch Time!  Then heavy snow all afternoon with the first cold trof lifting the AR.   Another colder trof comes in Friday morning for another big snow day!!

We still have some 7 to 8 inches of water to squeeze….

 

The Dweeber….

 

 

 

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Tuesday AM……can you smell the pineapples yet?

Latest guidance from the GFS shows some 9+ inches on the west side of South Central Sierra. So 8 to 9 feet probably at 10000 Feet, considering what snowfall ratios will be over all.

Updated.…California Rivers Forecast Center shows 9.02 inches at Huntington Lake, much of which falls within a 24 hours period. Blue Canyon over the Northern Sierra shows 9.06 inches storm total. So no real Bulls-eye from the southern sierra to the northern sierra.
From this morning, the WPC had updated their QPF to as high as 9 inches over the west side of our sierra. Our snow level on Wednesday will fluctuate between 7000 and 8000 feet. Any rain that falls in town, will be absorbed by the cold dry snowpack in place. In that the there is enough QPF over the weekend for Snow to Water ratios in the 12 to 13:1 range at the end of the storm….., odds are that this is going to be close to a 100 inch storm above 10,000  with a higher moisture content than the Feb 6th system. Well see what Mammoth Mt reports Monday AM for storm total.

Today is your last day to create more snow storage…..

Locals should have plenty of supplies on hand in the case of power outages. Bring enough dry wood in…in the case it rains.
Very strong winds from an angry upper jet is expected Thursday…..Again power outages are possible

Total snow fall from the storms by the end of the weekend over Mammoth Mountain is likely to tally in the 8 to 10 foot range. In town another 3 to 5 feet at 8000 feet is possible by Sunday night, as a colder storm is likely after the wet one.
Next week will be cold and much dryer…..and possibly continue dry through months end…

Dr Howard the the Dweebs..