Expect light breezes along with seasonal temperatures this weekend before winds increase Sunday afternoon. Winds will guat up into the 30 MPH range with ridge top gusts about 60 MPH on Sunday PM. Mammoth Lakes Highs will be in the low to mid 40s with lows in upper teens.  A dry cold front will push through late Sunday night with a few snow showers possible.

Next week is a different animal with an even colder system being tapped to push into the far west Monday, followed by a colder system Tuesday and Wednesday. Record or near record low temperatures are expected Tuesday into Wednesday with the Bridgeport Valley according to the guidence going possibly -15F to -17F?, Wednesday AM. This mornings 500MB guidence follows the trend of a bit eastward jog in the track, emphisizing a bit drier scenario for the high country Tuesday and Wednesday, so 1 to 4 inches is what’s expected for the upper elevations. This storm will be a better snow producer for the Rockies.

The Weather over the area this weekend should be a little milder as a weak system moves south down the coast setting up a little southerly flow aloft.  Highs in the upper 40s Saturday….

The Longer Range continues to be interesting with the MJO having an influence on the extratropics -120E to -130E and mid latitude upper flow, during mainly the end of the month and through the first week of March. Although a major wet  storm is not forcastable yet, it is greatly encourging to see the extention of the East Asian Upper jet taking place in the models around  the 25th, with a possible AR extending to the central west coast the end of the month of February. The week 2 global models are showing a major change in the pattern toward the end of the Month, with the breaking down of the eastern pacific ridge with westerlies uncutting.  Whether or not it actually happends is one thing as the possibiity is pretty decient. The other point is that the week two guidence is responding to the tropical forcing that has been forcasted now for over two weeks for the end of the month.  This is even more interesting to me….

Stay Tuned!!

 

The Dweeber…………………;-)